Grapes, Tree Fruit and Citrus Market Report January 08 to January 14
Another week of extremely short import red grape, as retailers are in full transition across the US. Continued arrivals have been limited and demand greatly exceeds supply. The same situation is expected on both Coasts, with importers cleaning up arrivals before they land. Expect this to remain a tight market with high FOB’s until Chilean brings volume on with vessels in late January. Avoid promoting red seedless until import volume increases. First Chilean break bulk to the West Coast is around 1/13 release, but still expected to remain tight even with a greater influx of fruit.
The transition into imported green seedless has been drastic on both Coasts, with a complete void of supplies trying to meet high demand. Supplies of Sweet Globe, Ivory and Sugraone have been arriving regularly, but not in enough volume to fill demand on both coasts. Light supplies on the West expect to keep supplies tight and FOB’s strong moving into January before the first Chilean vessel on January 13th. Expect an extremely tight 10 – 14 days on green until the Chilean season officially kicks off with the first vessel.
Light supplies of both Sweet Favor and Melody bringing on some early volume from Peru. As there are supplies currently available early, expect a little gap in availability between Peru finish and Chile start on volume. But for now… decent supplies are on both Coast to fill mixer volume. Continue to mix black seedless in with the other colors. Black seedless will be the most reliable volume of all the seedless grapes currently but will flip quickly once the variety gaps hit.
Avoid red globe. Supplies from Piura, Peru have finished importing into the U.S., with a complete lack of any available fruit on either coast. Ica, Peru is slow to start and mostly exporting any early fruit to Asia. Both Coasts will see almost zero Red Globe for 2 – 3 weeks. Pull out of store guides until late January.
Tree Fruit – Imports
Vessel fruit has finally begun to arrive in light ways to the U.S., but current promotions are keeping supplies limited at best. Air flights from Chile will be finishing and will remain very limited from Argentina. FOB pricing remains high due to the lighter amount of air flight volume on both coasts and the Chilean crop not hitting the crop expectations on volume for vessel fruit. Expect this to remain the same as the see the first vessel arrive. The first East Coast vessel arrival has hit right before the New Year, with the West Coast behind on 1/13. With the huge demand going into the first vessel arrivals, the market is expected to remain very tight and only promotable for a few weeks in mid-January to late January. With an early February finish expected.
Limited arrivals have started on both Coasts, with fruit peaking on smaller volume fills. Fruit has come in and flown right out, focusing on 56’s and some larger. Supplies will be non-existent until the first vessel arrivals on the West on January 13th. Almost time to start up and move into early Chilean tree fruit, but be very cautious on the start due to inevitable gaps in supply.
Plums / Pluots
Chile will start in mid to late January on first plum varieties.
Following right behind peaches, with the first East Coast containers have begun to arrive. The West will follow behind in early January on containers. Don’t promote until vessel volume in mid-January. Some limited amounts of fruit will start working through the system, until promotional volume begins in late January. Right now, supplies are too inconsistent to start programing.
Rain over the last few days in Central CA may slow down harvest slightly. Harvest volume is slightly light in spots and lower then expected due to some quality conditions being seen on certain varieties. Nonetheless, promotions opportunities in Q1 2024 will be in full swing and ready to drive additional sales. Avoid large promotions outside of the three main players for CA easy peelers, as some light rain and variety gaps may slow down industry volume. The market remains in fairly good demand.
Recent rains will have little effect, as the industry is seeing good supplies of navels on inventory currently. California navels remain at their peak, with size peaking on 48’s and 56’s. Smaller fruit has become limited, so anything smaller than 113’s is extremely tight and 88’s is beginning to feel pressure. Natural color has come on and gassing is no longer needed. Continue to focus on navel promotions now through May.
Last week’s rains will slow down harvest, but most growers are still waiting for color on Central CA fields. Size demands remain focused 115’s, 140’s and 165’s. Demand continues to keep FOB pricing relatively strong and moving at a steady pace. Quality and size will peak moving into January and allow for better stable supplies moving into 2024. Avoidance on freeze or long stretches of rain will be key for the Central CA crop.
DLJ Produce is home to the finest and freshest produce nationwide. Our customers depend on our produce 365 days a year coast to coast. If you want to discuss fruits, vegetables, cold storage, organic produce, or simply want to chat, give us a call today.