Tree Fruit, Grapes and Citrus Market Report Jan 1 to Jan 10
California red grapes will see their last week as growers rush to clean up old inventory. Quality will wain at the finish, with only a few growers trying to stretch longer with tote inventory. Now is the time to begin the transition into imports. Only light supplies of Peruvian fruit at the start from containers, with the first accurate promotable volume of the season arriving around 1/16 on the first Chilean break bulk of the season.
Like the red grapes, only a few good lots of CA green remain. Growers look to push out fruit ASAP as imports breathe down their neck. Quality is average at best, with only a small amount in good quality condition. Most retailers have begun the transition into imported greens from Peru, with movement picking up and dictating better arrival quality. Chilean fruit in earnest by mid to late January with the first couple arrivals.
CA is done for the season, with growers cleaning up their last inventory. Imports typically gap for 2 – 3 weeks before Chilean arrivals, but a small amount of Peruvian black grapes have arrived on the West Coast. Expect only limited gappy supplies until the real volume arrives from Chile in February.
The transition is complete from CA to imports. Peruvian red globe will be the norm for the next three months before Chile starts arriving in April. FOB’s are high and look to be mostly stable through the entire season due to small crop volume and decent mixer demand.
Air flight arrivals have died off in favor of vessel arrivals on containers. The problem with that is the entire slow down at the Long Beach port has created a disaster. Supplies are non-existent due to lack of arrivals, and vessel volume is sitting waiting to offload. Be careful of heavy volume promotion simply due to lack of controlled availability coming from the port. This will be a plague the balance of the import season. Vessel cherries will be available from now through early February.
Similar to the cherry situation, a late start combined with vessel delays has created a lack of supplies of stone fruit on both coasts. Some small arrivals of yellow peach have hit, but in a very light way. Volume will be sporadic, with the first true volume arriving in mid-January on the first break bulk. FOB’s will slowly adjust until promotable volume arrives at the end of the month.
Demand exceeds on yellow nectarine, simply due to the lack of early arrivals. The limited supplies will remain the case through first vessel arrival. Volume will pick up by early – February and allow for the best promotable time period of the season. It will be a slow play until Chilean volume arrives, then promotional volumes will carry through most of February, March and early April.
The plum crop will start in a very light way on the first vessel, but not see sizable arrivals until January once additional early varieties begin arriving. By mid-January enough volume of both red and black plum will arrive in good supply. Better growing conditions and increased water availability in Chile should increase both crop volume, as well as fruit size. Plum volume will remain up, depending upon how demand reacts will determine FOB’s for the crop.
Clementine volume from Central CA will roll along strong. Heavy fog and dampness in the Central Valley will slightly delay harvest in the early morning, but crews will still be able to pick a majority of the day once the overcast lifts. Most growers have finished Satsuma mandarins and have moved into true clementine varieties. Expect a smooth crop, with good volume as long as Mother Nature cooperates. Supplies will carry into mid to late April as usual, possibly longer based on COVID-related movement (or lack of).
Domestic navel volume will stay consistent, with only limited harvest interruptions due to wet fog and occasional rains. This won’t slow down volume dramatically and allow for growers to continue harvesting good numbers. Promotable supplies through May are expected and will allow for a good volume to sustain the movement. Volume is peaking on 56’s and larger, with some 72 and 88s.
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